China Summit

NOVEMBER  2nd, 2010

Evening welcome reception at the residence of Sebastian Wood, British Ambassador to China

NOVEMBER 3rd, 2010

SUMMIT PROGRAMME

Chairman's welcome and opening remarks

Charles Goddard, Editorial Director, Asia Pacific, Economist Intelligence Unit  

Keynote opening speech from a senior government representative  

• How do the authorities view China's changing role in the world?
• To what degree has the crisis made China more confident and in what ways has it made it more cautious?
• Are China's geopolitical objectives changing?
• And what new policies will the government use to achieve them?

• Having relied heavily on exports and investments as the engines of growth, is Chian rebalancing towards private consumption?
• Does the economic malaise in the West speed up the process?
• Given the recent crisis, how is China's economic managemetn changing course?
• What furture for the renminbi?
• What might derail China's rosy prospects?

Panelist:

Michael Pettis, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Finance Professor, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University  

Keynote: an international view on China's role in the new global economic order 

Refreshment break 

China in a multi-polar world: does increasing influence upset "the peaceful rise"?

The emergence of new powers typically causes great friction as established players concede ground to ambitious rivals. But China's ascendancy to date has been surprisingly smooth. The country's leaders, ever careful to promote the notion of "peaceful rise", have used great skill in steering their course quietly and efficiently. And yet, as China's influence in the world continues to grow, it will become ever more embroiled in issues such as resources scarcity, environmental concerns, changing political allegiances, clashes of ideology, and economic rivalry.  

Panelists:

Ambassador Jon Huntsman, US Embassy in China

Richard Baum, Distringuished Professor of Political Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Director Emeritus, UCLA Center for Chinese Studies, Founder, Chinapol 

• As a middle class emerges, will it want greater say over how its lives and communities are governed?
• Given the recent successes of workers in labour negotiations, is the balance of power between the Communist Party and the country's citizens shifting?
• Are China's workers becoming more vocal?
• How will China's systems of social control, such as the hukou system, evolve?
• What lies ahead for thorny issues such as property rights, corruption, and censorship of the internet?

Panelist:
James Miles, China Correspondent, The Economist 

Networking luncheon 

STREAM 1

(A) EIU consumer briefing

Mary Boyd, Director, China, Economist Corporate Network, The Economist Group  

Will China ever become anything more than a middle income country?

• What is the outlook for the Chinese consumer over the next 20years?
• What characterises the consumer market, and how should businesses approach it?
• Income disparities between wealthy coastal cities and poor inland regions remain both large and potentially divisive. Will the government succeed in tackling growing inequality?
• What impact will an ageing population have on the prospects for growth and consumption? And how is the government preparing for its coming demographic challenges?
• Who will support China's ageing population?

Panelists:

Robert Lind, Group Chief Economist, Anglo American

Roberto Leonardi, Head of Regional Markets, Asia Pacific, Munich Health 

• What are the patterns of urban development in China?
• How can and should business get involved?
• How sustainable is the process of urbanisation at present?
• Are regulatory environments and incentives sufficient to encourage sustainable urban development?

Panelist:

Michael Christiansen, President, Novozymes China   

• How does entrepreneurship work in China?
• How has China's private sector learned to cope with its challenges, and what character does that impart on their future development?
• The first wave of overseas acquisitions by Chinese firms was of mixed success. Will subsequent rounds do better?
• Chinese firms have learnt much from Western businesses. What can the West, in turn, learn from China's emerging corporate giants?

Panelists:
Dan Mintz, Chief Executive Officer, DMG Media

Duncan Clark, Chairman, BDA  

• Where will China lead? Which industries? Which technologies?
• How will government support influence the nature of science and innovation?
• How important is China as a base for foreign firms to locate R&D facilities?
• Innovation often requires freedom of creative expression. Will China's regulatory regime allow it?
• What does China's burgeoning innovation mean for the enforcement of intellectual property rights?

Panelists:
Rajeev Singh-Molares, President, Asia-Pacific, Alcatel Lucent

Jeremy Burks, President, Greater China, Dow Corning

Mitch Barns, President, Great China, Nielsen   

Refreshment break  

Keynote focus: countdown to Cacun

As the 16th session of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Kyoto Protocol in Cancun approaches, we ask international experts to comment on the forthcoming agenda, how the disappointments of Copenhagen can be avoided and what barriers to reaching a meaningful action plan in Cancun exist.

China's fragile future: does China's financial system need reforming?

Panelist:

Alex Ng, Chief Investment Officer, Asia-Pacific, BNP Paribas Investment Partners

The China opportunity: exciting or exasperating?

• In what ways has the recent crisis shifted the appetite of the authorities for market liberalisation?
• Are foreign companies less welcome today than they once were? Does the warmth of their reception depend on the sector they are in?
• How level is the playing field for foreign businesses, private Chinese firms, and state-owned enterprises?
• How are foreign companies shifting the way they approach China in light of a changing reform agenda?

Panelists:

Robert Agnelli, Chief Executive Officer, Vale

Jacques de Boisseson, President, European Union Chamber of Commerce in China

Arthur Kroeber, Managing Director, Dragonomics  

Close

Followed by networking drinks reception   

2010年11月2日 

“中国峰会”欢迎酒会—英国驻华大使Sebastian Wood府邸 

2010年11月3日 议程 

会议主席欢迎致词

Charles Goddard, 经济学人信息部亚洲区编辑总监  

政府政策制定者发表开幕主题演讲

·         政府如何看待中国在世界中变化的角色？ 

·         此次危机在什么程度上使中国更加自信，又从哪些方面使中国更加谨慎？ 

·         中国的雄心壮志发生了怎样的变化？ 

·         政府将采取哪些新政来达到这些目标？ 

经济学家激辨: 全球最令人振奋的经济体？

主题演讲: 国际视角：新世界经济秩序下的中国角色  

茶歇 

• 新兴的中产阶级是否会在自身生活及社群方面要求更多的决定权？
•  考虑到近期工人在劳资协商中的成功，政府与国民的平衡是否正在转变？
•  中国工人的话语权是否越来越强？
•  中国的户口制等社会管控体系将如何改革？
•  摆在当前的棘手问题？如物权、腐败及互联网审查等。       

   

   

   

   

午宴  

分论坛 1

 A) 经济学人信息部客户简报

中国是否会“未富先老”？财富，消费，中国的支撑体系

•  中国消费者未来20年的前景如何？
•  中国的消费市场具有哪些特点？企业要想进入这一市场应采取哪些措施？
•  富裕沿海城市和贫困内陆地区间的收入差距仍然较大，有可能出现巨大的分化，政府是否能成功应对不断扩大的贫富差距现象？
•  人口老龄化会对增长及消费的前景带来哪些影响？政府为即将出现的人口结构变化做了哪些准备？ 

B) 中国的城市化将是一段积极的发展历程吗？  

• 中国的城市发展有哪些模式？
•  商业运作能够在其中扮演怎样的角色？应该扮演怎样的角色？
•  目前城市化进程的可持续性如何？
•  规范环境与激励办法是否足以支撑可持续的城市发展？

分论坛 2

• 如何在中国发挥创业精神？
•  中国的民营企业如何学会了应对挑战？这会给他们企业未来的发展带来哪些特点？
•  中国企业海外收购的第一波已获得部分成功，未来几轮是否会更加出色？
•  中国公司已从西方企业中学到了很多，反之，西方企业又如何向中国这个新兴的企业巨人学习呢 ？

D) 做抄袭者还是当先锋：培育中国创新  

• 中国将会领军何方？哪些行业？哪些技术？ 
• 政府支持将对科学与创新的性质造成哪些影响？ 
• 中国作为外企研发基地具有怎样的重要性？ 
• 创新通常需要原创性见解的自由发表，中国的监管体制是否允许这一现象发生？ 
• 中国创新的萌芽发展对知识产权的执行意味着什么？

茶歇 

主题聚焦: 坎昆倒计时 

当第十六届《联合国气候变化框架公约京都议定书》坎昆峰会日益临近，我们约请国际专家就即将确定的会议议程进行思辨，并探讨如何避免出现哥本哈根所导致的失望，以及那些可能对达成有意义的行动计划的障碍

中国的机遇：令人兴奋还是令人烦恼？ 

自中国市场开放的30年里，外资企业对中国的前景表现出出奇的振奋和关注。基于这一潜在巨大市场的强劲增长，同时基于对持续改革及市场自由化的预期，海外直接投资蜂拥而至。但是，来自天平另一端的改革近来却让许多企业感到失望，高管们纷纷表示这一进程已经放缓，甚至开始朝反向发展。  

• 近期的危机从哪些方面使政府不再热衷于市场自由化？
• 目前外资企业是否不再受到以往那样热烈的欢迎？其受欢迎程度是否取决于所在部门的属性？
• 外资企业、中国私有企业及国有企业的竞技环境具有什么程度的平等性？
• 基于变动的改革议程，外资企业正在如何转变进入中国市场的方式？
  

总结发言