The Bellwether Series 2012: Australia

July 12th 2012
  • Sheraton on the Park, Sydney, Australia

The Bellwether Series 2011 brought together over 150 senior executives ranging from leading policymakers, banking executives and regulators, in each of the individual market in Asia-Pacific, China, Japan, Australia and South Korea, to debate on the future of finance in Asia-Pacific.

Now in its third year, The Bellwether Series 2012 once again will return to these markets to examine critical opportunities and challenges in Asia-Pacific’s four key financial markets, including Australia on July 12th 2012.

The global financial crisis is still hobbling America and Europe. But it left a different legacy in Asia. It was a blow to the region’s economies, but a boost to the region’s pride. Asia’s financial systems proved remarkably resilient; its economic recovery admirably swift.

Many of Asia’s leaders, businesspeople and investors are confident of an “Asian century” ahead. But there is a danger in triumphalism. In many Asian countries, the economy has raced ahead of the financial system. The region’s share of global financial assets lags far behind its economic weight in the world, and its financial institutions sometimes struggle to keep up with more demanding savers and more ambitious firms.

Asia has its own vulnerabilities and challenges to overcome. Its diverse economies are variously threatened by liquidity traps and middle-income traps; the perils of inflation and deflation. Some need to increase consumption; others to revive investment. All seek to foster innovation and secure their niche in a more elaborate international division of labour.

Although Asia may well prosper even if the West does not, it will be easier for both regions to prosper together. The Australia edition of the Bellwether Series will examine the state of the financial system globally and in Asia—now, and over the long term. For Australia’s financial-services industry, what are the opportunities and risks in the shifting landscape, within and outside Australia and the region? The Australia edition will take an intellectually rigorous, global and forward-looking perspective on Australia’s evolving financial-services industry.

Dates of each Bellwether Series 2012 event:

Tokyo, Japan – May 16th 2012

Sydney, Australia – July 12th 2012

Seoul, South Korea – September 4th 2012

Beijing, China – November 16th 2012

To review the highlights of The Bellwether Series 2011 in Australia please visit http://www.economistconferences.asia/event/bellwether-series-australia-2011.

View photos from The Bellwether Series: Australia 2011 - 

Get the flash player here: http://www.adobe.com/flashplayer

8.45 am

 

Opening remarks

The chairperson will give scene-setting remarks for the day’s discussions.

 

9.15 am 

On the global financial landscape

This session presents The Economist and Economist Intelligence Unit’s perspective. The focus is on recent developments and what’s ahead in the global and Asian financial landscape, with implications for Australia.

 

10.00 am

Western, Asian or global?

Competing models of financial regulation and central banking

This session will shed light on whether evolving regulatory norms around the world reflect past Asian practice or interfere with it, with implications for Australia.

Since the financial crisis, the world has shifted from an era of deregulation to a new era of reregulation. The role of the monetary and financial authorities has become more expansive, more intrusive—in many ways, more Asian. Is there a distinctively Asian regulatory philosophy? If so, what can the rest of the world learn from it?

  • Managing property booms
  • Coping with currency volatility
  • Australia’s financial regulatory environment

Panellists:
John Laker, Chairman, Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA)
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Deputy Director, Financial and Enterprise Affairs, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Jeffrey Carmichael, Chief Executive Officer, Promontory Financial Group Australasia


10.50 am

Networking break


11.20 am

The retreat of Europe…

…a threat—and an opportunity—for Asia

 

  • How will the euro crisis affect Asia’s financial markets and economic prospects?
  • As European banks bolster their balance sheets, what assets might they offer for sale, and what gaps might they leave behind?
  • How can regional banks best prepare themselves for the problems, and potential opportunities, this deleveraging may present?
  • Will the euro crisis inflict great damage on trade finance in Asia?

Panellists:
Philip Lowe, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of Australia
Brian Redican, Division Director and Senior Economist, Macquarie Bank
Joseph Healy, Group Executive Business Banking, National Australia Bank


12.05 pm

Luncheon


1.20 pm

China and Australia

China is projected to become the world’s biggest economy by 2018. It may get there, if it manages to avoid a few stumbles along the way. Australia has benefited more than most from China’s progress. Has that created a dangerous dependency for Australia? This session discusses angles of the China story that impact Australia.

  • What are the implications for Australia of a slowdown in China’s growth?
  • China aspires towards a less resource-intensive model of development. Is that a bad thing for Australia?
  • How is Chinese investment in Australia changing the mining industry?
  • Is China moving upstream and into Australia? Developments in mining and other sectors.

 

Panellists:
Hon Craig Emerson, Minister for Trade and Competitiveness, Acting Minister for Foreign Affairs, Government of Australia
Paul Schulte, Former Global Head of Financial Strategy and Asia Banks Research Division, CCB International Securities 


2.10 pm

Government and markets

As Australia’s minority federal government manages political survival into next year, will financial regulation shift? What will the impact be on Australia’s banks and financial institutions?

  • How can manufacturing and tourism live with a strong Australian dollar?
  • How can Australia withstand Dutch disease and preserve competitiveness?
  • Is Australia’s fiscal policy an outdated model for managing the economy?
  • What are the main forces impinging on Australia’s economic sovereignty

 

Panellists:
Steven Münchenberg, Chief Executive Officer, Australian Bankers’ Association
Paul Howes, National Secretary, Australia Workers Union
Justin O’Brien, Professor of Law and Director, Centre for Law, Markets and Regulation, The University of New South Wales
Dave Poddar, Partner and Head of Competition, Allen & Overy


3.00 pm

Networking break


3.40 pm

What if…?

Scenarios for Australia

  • What if…property in Australia crashed?
  • What if…the Australian dollar reached parity with the euro?
  • Household debt

 

Bill Evans, Chief Economist, Westpac


4.20 pm

The perspective from Australia’s government


Hon Penny Wong, Minister for Finance and Deregulation, Government of Australia

 

4.50 pm

Chairperson’s closing remarks


5.00 pm

End programme

Simon Cox, Asia Economics Correspondent, The Economist

Simon Cox covers the economies of emerging Asia, including India and China, for The Economist newspaper.

Hon Penny Wong, Minister for Finance and Deregulation, Government of Australia

Hon Craig Emerson, Minister for Trade and Competitiveness, Acting Minister for Foreign Affairs, Government of Australia

Philip Lowe, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of Australia

Philip Lowe is the Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Deputy Chairman of the Reserve Bank Board and Chairman of the Reserve Bank's Risk Management Committee.

John Laker, Chairman, Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA)

Dr Laker is in his second term as Chairman of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA).

Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Deputy Director, Financial and Enterprise Affairs, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

Dr. Adrian Blundell-Wignall is the Special Advisor to the Secretary-General on Financial Markets and Deputy Director in the Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs (DAF) at the OECD, effective from 14 February 2007.

FOUNDING SPONSOR:

SUPPORTING SPONSOR:

 

OFFICIAL AIRLINE PARTNER:

SOCIAL MEDIA PARTNER:


Customer service

Alice Wong
Client Relations Executive
Phone: (852) 2585 3312
Email: conferencesasia@economist.com

 


Marketing partnerships

Flora Sam
Event Marketing Executive, Asia Pacific
Phone: (852) 2585 3841
Email: florasam@economist.com  

 

 

Sponsorship opportunities

Claire Tan
Business Director, The Economist Group, Australia and New Zealand

Phone: +61 2 8251 0063 / Mob: +61 420 277 473

Email: clairetan@economist.com


Speaker and programme enquiries

Alison Carroll
Conference & Programmes Manager, Asia Pacific
Phone: (852) 2585 3803
Email: alisoncarroll@economist.com

 
  

Contact us today to pre-register your interest to attend The Bellwether Series: Australia - 

 

CLICK HERE to register

conferencesasia@economist.com
(852) 2585 3312

 

Fee in USD (inclusive of GST)
Standard$1500
Advance purchase rate (before April 12th 2012)    $1350
The Economist subscriber rate$1200
Economist Corporate Network member rate$1050
Student, academia and government$750
2011 Bellwether Series attendee rate$1350